STA 570

Basic Statistical Analysis
Fall Semester 2006


Class Instructor
Name: Dr. Arne Bathke
Address: 875 Patterson Office Tower (POT)
Telephone: 257-3610
Email: arne@ms.uky.edu
Office Hours : 2:00-4:00 PM on Tuesdays.


Lab Instructor (Sections 401-402)
Name: Joshua Blagg
Address:859 Patterson Office Tower
Telephone:257-4423
Email: jblagg@ms.uky.edu
Office Hours : 12:00 - 1:00 PM on Mondays and Wednesdays.


Lab Instructor (Sections 403-404)
Name: Tiantian Sun
Address:818 Patterson Office Tower
Telephone:257-6915
Email: tsun@ms.uky.edu
Office Hours : 3:00-4:00 PM on Thursdays.


Course Information
Class time Lecture: MW 6:00 - 7:15 PM
Class time Computer Lab Section 401: W 7:30-9:20 PM, Section 402: M 7:30-9:20 PM,
Section 403: T 6:00-7:50 PM, Section 404: R 6:00-7:50 PM
Classroom Lecture : CB (Classroom Building) 122, except on the following dates when the lecture will be in CB 304:
Wednesday, September 20; Wednesday, October 18; Wednesday, November 15
Classroom Computer Lab : CB (Classroom Building) 307
Textbook: A. Agresti, B. Finlay, Statistical Methods for the Social Sciences, Third Edition, Prentice Hall.
Please note that you can either purchase just the book (ISBN 0135265266),
or, alternatively, pay about $20 more to get the book and a student version of SPSS 14 ( ISBN 0131570161).
It is entirely up to you to decide whether to buy the bundle or just the book, and it depends on whether you think that you will use SPSS at home, and in the years to come. I personally think that the bundle is a good deal (statistical software packages are often expensive), but if you have easy computer access in your department or somewhere else on campus that includes statistical software packages like SAS or SPSS, then you certainly won't need it.
Here is a list of computer labs on campus
Website : http://www.ms.uky.edu/~arne/sta570/

This website will be updated regularly.
Please keep checking it for announcements, homework information, and handouts.


Course Policies
Description: This is an intensive four credit hour course. It covers many topics: the introduction to methods of analyzing data from experiments and surveys, the role of statistics in research, statistical concepts and models, probability and distribution functions, estimation, hypothesis testing, regression and correlation, analysis of single and multiple classification models, analysis of categorical data.
Lab activities consist of applications and problems that are designed to clarify the contents of the lectures. In the lab sessions, also some quiz problems are worked out.
Prerequisites: MA 109 or equivalent. Undergraduates must have consent of instructor.
Attendance: Consistent attendance is strongly recommended. Each student is responsible for obtaining all material missed when absent.
Grading: Your grade will be a weighted average of four parts:
One midterm exam (20%), a final exam (30%), homework assignments (30%), and in-class-quizzes (20%).
The score range for each letter grade is subject to changes contingent on student performance.
It is anticipated as 90 % - 100 % for A, 80 % - 89 % for B, 70 % - 79 % for C, 60 % - 69 % for D, and 0 % - 59 % for E.
Exams: The exams are scheduled for October 16 and December 11 (Final Exam). Make-up exams will be allowed only in extreme circumstances and are subject to proper documentation. Unless it is an emergency situation, you need to notify me ahead of time either by phone or via email.
Homework: The homework solutions must be your own work.
Late homework will not be accepted (i.e., given full credit) without a university excused absence.
Quizzes: For quizzes, no make-ups will be allowed. Instead, the lowest quiz score will be dropped.
Syllabus: The syllabus will be followed closely, but it is subject to changes.
Students are responsible for obtaining paper copies of all course materials that are posted on the web.
In other words, the instructors will not bring in printed handouts unless they are not posted on the web.
Software: In the lab room CB 307, the statistical software packages SAS, SPSS, and R are installed. We will mainly use SAS and SPSS.
You may use other software for the homework problems, but we will not be able to provide technical support.
Cell Phones: Cell phones need to be turned off during class time and exams.


Syllabus

Date Topics Book Sections Handouts/Assignments
Wed, Aug 23 Introduction, Syllabus 1 Lecture 1 (pdf)
Lecture 1 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 1, due in the lab session next week:
1.1, 1.2, 1.4, 1.9
Mon, Aug 28 Variables, Scales, Sampling
Quiz 1 (pdf)
2.1-2.3 Lecture 2 (pdf)
Lecture 2 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 2, due in the lab session next week:
1.10, 2.1, 2.2, 2.4, 2.6, 2.18
Bonus Homework: 2.22
Sampling Applet
Wed, Aug 30 Sampling, Descriptive Statistics2.4, 3.1 Lecture 3 (pdf)
Lecture 3 Handout Format (pdf)
Mon, Sep 4 Labor Day - Academic Holiday!
Wed, Sep 6
CB 122
Graphs 3.1 Lecture 4 (pdf)
Lecture 4 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 3, due in the lab session next week:
3.4, 3.10, 3.32, 3.56; Collect and evaluate a newspaper graphic
Essay Bonus Homework, due in the week of Sep 18: See lecture notes (Canada/US)
Mean and Median Applet
Mon, Sep 11
CB 122
Mean, Median, Mode
Quiz 2 (pdf)
3.2-3.3 Lecture 5 (pdf)
Lecture 5 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 4, due in the lab session next week:
2.24, 3.8, 3.20, 3.42, 3.50a
(3.50a can be done in the lab next week)
Bonus Homework, due Nov 30: Rectify bad use of statistics in the news or other publications.
Descriptive Statistics Applet
Wed, Sep 13
CB 122
Measures of Variation, Box Plots 3.4-3.5 Lecture 6 (pdf)
Lecture 6 Handout Format (pdf)
Mon, Sep 18
CB 122
Probability Distributions
Quiz 3 (pdf)
4.1 Lecture 7 (pdf)
Lecture 7 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 5, due in the lab session next week:
3.18, 3.30, 3.54, 4.2, 4.6
(3.18 and 3.54 can be done in the lab next week)
Bonus Homework: 3.64
Wed, Sep 20
CB 304
The Normal Distribution 4.2 Lecture 8 (pdf)
Lecture 8 Handout Format (pdf)
Normal Curve Applet
Mon, Sep 25
CB 122
Sampling Distributions
Quiz 4 (pdf)
4.3-4.5 Lecture 9 (pdf)
Lecture 9 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 6, due in the lab session next week:
4.10, 4.18, 4.20, 4.28, 4.46
Wed, Sep 27
CB 122
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Mean4.4-4.5 Lecture 10 (pdf)
Lecture 10 Handout Format (pdf)
Dice Experiment Applet
Central Limit Theorem Applet
Mon, Oct 2
CB 122
Estimators, Confidence Intervals
Quiz 5 (pdf)
5.1-5.2 Lecture 11 (pdf)
Lecture 11 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 7, due in the lab session next week:
4.30, 4.32, 4.40, 4.54, 5.6
Bonus Homework: See lecture notes.
Confidence Interval Applet
Wed, Oct 4
CB 122
Confidence Intervals 5.2-5.4 Lecture 12 (pdf)
Lecture 12 Handout Format (pdf)
Mon, Oct 9
CB 122
Confidence Intervals, Significance Tests
Quiz 6 (pdf)
5.4, 6.1 Lecture 13 (pdf)
Lecture 13 Handout Format (pdf)
Formula Sheet for the Midterm Exam
Wed, Oct 11
CB 122
Review1-5 Midterm Exam Review (pdf)
Midterm Exam Review Handout Format (pdf)
Mon, Oct 16
CB 122
Midterm Exam (6:00 - 7:15 PM)
Wed, Oct 18
CB 304
Significance Tests 6.1, 6.2, 6.4 Lecture 14 (pdf)
Lecture 14 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 8, due in the lab session next week:
5.54, 6.8, 6.9, 6.49 (TV, college GPA)
(6.49 can be done in the lab next week)
Mon, Oct 23
CB 122
Significance Tests
Quiz 7 (pdf)
6.2-6.4 Lecture 15 (pdf)
Lecture 15 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 9, due next week Wednesday:
6.12, 6.20, 6.22, 6.54, 6.55
Wed, Oct 25
CB 122
Significance Tests 6.5, 6.7 Lecture 16 (pdf)
Lecture 16 Handout Format (pdf)
t Distribution: Applet 1 Applet 2
Binomial Distribution: Applet 1 Applet 2
Election Ballot for Fayette County
Mon, Oct 30
CB 122
Inference for Comparing Means and Proportions of Two Groups
Quiz 8 (pdf)
7.1-7.3 Lecture 17 (pdf)
Lecture 17 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 10, due next week Wednesday:
6.28, 6.56, 7.6, 7.8, 7.10
Wed, Nov 1
CB 122
Small-Sample Inference,
Comparing Dependent Samples
7.3, 7.4 Lecture 18 (pdf)
Lecture 18 Handout Format (pdf)
Bonus Homework: See lecture notes.
Mon, Nov 6
CB 122
Comparing Dependent Samples,
Nonparametric Methods,
Linear Regression
Quiz 9 (pdf)
7.4-7.5, 9.1 Lecture 19 (pdf)
Lecture 19 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 11, due next week Wednesday:
5.52, 6.66, 7.16, 7.50, 9.2
Wed, Nov 8
CB 122
Regression and Correlation 9.1-9.4 Lecture 20 (pdf)
Lecture 20 Handout Format (pdf)
Correlation and Regression Applet
Regression Analysis Online Tool
Mon, Nov 13
CB 122
Inference for the Slope and Correlation,
Model Assumptions
Quiz 10 (pdf)
9.4-9.6 Lecture 21 (pdf)
Lecture 21 Handout Format (pdf)
Homework 12, due Monday, November 27:
9.6(a)-(e), 9.16, 9.34, 9.36, 9.38
Bonus Homework: 9.44
Wed, Nov 15
CB 304
Multivariate Relationships
Multiple Regression
10, 11.1, 11.3-11.4 Lecture 22 (pdf)
Lecture 22 Handout Format (pdf)
Mon, Nov 20
CB 122
Analysis of Variance
Quiz 11 (pdf)
12.1-12.2 Lecture 23 (pdf)
Lecture 23 Handout Format (pdf)
F Distribution Applet
ANOVA Online Tool 1
ANOVA Online Tool 2 (Rweb)
Snapshot Poll Analysis
Wed, Nov 22 No Lecture/Lab - Happy Thanksgiving Holidays!
Mon, Nov 27
CB 122
Analysis of Variance 12.1-12.2, 12.8 Lecture 24 (pdf)
Lecture 24 Handout Format (pdf)
Formula Sheet for the Final Exam
(please check for possible errors)
Wed, Nov 29
CB 122
Analyzing Association Between Categorical Variables 8.1, 8.2 Lecture 25 (pdf)
Lecture 25 Handout Format (pdf)
Chi Squared Distribution: Applet 1 Applet 2
2x2 Table Online Tool
General Contingency Table Online Tool (Rweb)
Mon, Dec 4
CB 122
Association Between Categorical Variables 8.2-8.4 Lecture 26 (pdf)
Lecture 26 Handout Format (pdf)
Wed, Dec 6
CB 122
Review Final Exam Review (pdf)
Final Exam Review Handout Format (pdf)
Mon, Dec 11
CB 304 & CB 246
Final Exam (6:00-8:00 pm) in CB 304 (Sections 401 and 402) and in CB 246 (Sections 403 and 404)


e-mail: arne@ms.uky.edu